TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Baltimore Ravens versus the Indianapolis Colts during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines whether the Ravens or Colts win the quarter by a certain margin.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Baltimore Ravens and the Indianapolis Colts at the end of the second quarter of their game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the Ravens or Colts to win the quarter by; if the winning team's margin exceeds the stated threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes, otherwise it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these outcomes, and all markets are independent, each evaluating the same game moment against its unique point-spread requirement.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on their prediction of the final spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more buyers there are for a particular spread, the higher the price will go, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Ravens-Colts game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by the purchased contract. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payout on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official verification.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Colts would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies could shift the market’s perception of the likely outcome. Public sentiment and large bets placed by informed traders can also contribute to price fluctuations.