TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will dominate the second half of a football game by a specific margin. Each outcome represents a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the second half of play, excluding any overtime period. For markets where the Baltimore Ravens are the favored team, resolution occurs if they win the second half by more than the specified point margin (e.g., over 13.5, 10.5, 9.5 points, etc.). Conversely, for markets where the Indianapolis Colts are the favored team, resolution occurs if they win the second half by more than the specified point margin (e.g., over 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 points, etc.). No points scored during the first half or in overtime count toward any market resolution. All outcomes are independent and resolve strictly according to the stated point differential thresholds for the designated team in the second half of regulation play only.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds due to differing information or perspectives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the game’s outcome. It’s common to see this market incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to late-breaking news or shifts in public sentiment. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the Ravens-Colts game, and can shift rapidly based on new information or trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the Ravens-Colts game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The final score will determine which contracts settle in the money.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Colts would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or player availability could also shift expectations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment and drive price fluctuations.