TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming professional football game. It considers scenarios where either team could dominate the early stages or where the quarter could end in a tie.
If Indianapolis wins the 1st Quarter of the BAL Ravens vs IND Colts Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baltimore wins the 1st Quarter of the BAL Ravens vs IND Colts Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the BAL Ravens vs IND Colts Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to win the first quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise in this market. This difference can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Ravens or the Colts winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time view of expectations for the Ravens-Colts 1st quarter result. The higher the price, the greater the implied probability of that outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading after the first quarter of the Ravens-Colts game will be declared the winner of this market. The official NFL game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the Ravens or the Colts would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant news related to team morale, coaching decisions, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.