TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points the Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts score together in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity in the opening quarter.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold—ranging from just over 3 points to more than 24 points—and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined first-quarter score exceeds that threshold. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward resolution, and all markets share this same foundational rule. The thresholds vary progressively, offering multiple opportunities to assess different scoring outcomes for the opening quarter of the game.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes differ significantly from the opening price on Kalshi. It's common to see convergence as more information becomes available and trading volume increases closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment regarding the Ravens-Colts first quarter total.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter between the Ravens and the Colts will determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side of the specified point total. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the result, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Colts would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Even public perception shifts, driven by analyst predictions or social media discussion, can influence trader behavior and move the price. Any significant development related to team strategy or offensive/defensive matchups could also play a role.