TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Baltimore Ravens versus the Indianapolis Colts during the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Baltimore Ravens and the Indianapolis Colts exclusively during the first quarter of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold for the Ravens or Colts to win by; if the winning team exceeds that threshold during the first quarter, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these outcomes. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the markets are not affiliated with the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set the line based on statistical models and team news, this market can adjust rapidly to incorporate a wider range of factors and potentially reveal insights not immediately captured by conventional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 1st quarter spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the probability of different spread scenarios in the first quarter of the Ravens-Colts game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-quarter spread of the Ravens-Colts game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official spread as determined by the game’s governing body, and reported by major sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Colts would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also impact trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might also influence trading behavior on Kalshi, as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived discrepancies.