TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Baltimore Ravens versus the Indianapolis Colts during the first half of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines whether the Ravens or Colts win the first half by a certain margin.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first half of the designated BAL Ravens vs IND Colts Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. For markets where the Ravens are the designated winner, resolution occurs if BAL wins the first half by more than the specified point margin (e.g., over 13.5, 10.5, 9.5, etc.). Conversely, for markets where the Colts are the designated winner, resolution occurs if IND wins the first half by more than the specified point margin (e.g., over 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, etc.). Only points scored during the first half of play are considered for resolution. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately according to its specific threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's pricing is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe the Ravens will perform well in the first half, the price for that outcome will increase, potentially moving further away from initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies as new information emerges or public perception shifts, influencing trading activity in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Ravens-Colts first half spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the game’s likely result. The closer we get to the game, the more the price will likely reflect the expected outcome, as traders refine their predictions based on available information.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first-half spread of the game between the Ravens and the Colts. The official result will determine whether the Ravens won the first half by more than 4.5 points, and that will dictate which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Ravens or the Colts would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could affect trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might draw attention to this market and influence trading decisions, potentially leading to price adjustments.