TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the DAL Cowboys will win by more than 2.5 points in their game against the BAL Ravens. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 65.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the BAL Ravens vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep a close eye on the game itself on September 27, 2026, as the final score will determine whether the Cowboys exceed the 2.5-point margin needed for resolution.
Each market in this event specifies a particular point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. If the Baltimore Ravens win the game by more than the stated margin, all markets favoring Baltimore at that threshold or lower will resolve to Yes. Conversely, if the Dallas Cowboys win by more than their specified margin, those markets will resolve to Yes. Markets not met by the actual result will resolve to No. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves based solely on its own threshold regardless of other outcomes. The secondary disclaimer clarifies that the platform has no official affiliation with the league governing the game, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. However, sportsbook odds are often set with the intention of balancing action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by predictions. You may find that initial odds on Kalshi differ from those at sportsbooks, but as the event approaches, they often converge. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and analysis faster than sportsbooks, leading to potentially more informed pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Ravens-Cowboys game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate, the market price tends to become a more accurate reflection of the collective belief about the game’s spread. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand for each contract.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Ravens-Cowboys game, as determined by official sports data sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the Ravens-Cowboys spread market. News regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact, shifting the perceived advantage. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest inclement conditions, could also move the market. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to team coaching strategies or internal dynamics could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026.