TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a professional football game between two prominent teams. It specifically tracks performance during the last quarter of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on which side demonstrates stronger offensive capability in that decisive segment of play.
If Dallas wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the BAL Ravens vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baltimore wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the BAL Ravens vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the BAL Ravens vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the 4th quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the collective intelligence of its participants. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the 4th quarter of the Ravens-Cowboys game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on official game results and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the 4th quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. Be sure to monitor for the official announcement to understand when this market is settled.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could influence how traders value the probability of each team winning the 4th quarter.