TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points the Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys score specifically in the fourth quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored by both teams in that quarter. The outcomes depend on whether the combined score exceeds the specified threshold.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points) that the combined score must exceed for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. If the combined points scored in the 4th quarter do not exceed the threshold, the market resolves as 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored during regulation play in the 4th quarter, with overtime points excluded from calculation.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the game's outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final 4th quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe the total will be high, the price of contracts representing a higher total will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the 4th quarter of the Ravens-Cowboys game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be sourced from official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual 4th quarter total.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to each other’s actions.