TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Baltimore Ravens versus the Dallas Cowboys specifically within the fourth quarter of their upcoming game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that could determine the outcome, allowing participants to assess how dominant one team might be in the final quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the designated BAL Ravens vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game, with overtime points excluded. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team's fourth-quarter victory exceeds the stated margin—for BAL Ravens, this means winning by more than the listed point spread; for DAL Cowboys, it means winning by more than their respective spreads. Each market defines a unique threshold, ranging from narrow margins like over 1.5 points to larger gaps such as over 10.5 points, offering varied levels of difficulty. The resolution hinges exclusively on fourth-quarter performance, disregarding any points scored in earlier quarters or overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. However, this market allows traders to express their own views, potentially leading to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public opinion than traditional betting venues. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Ravens-Cowboys 4th quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective assessment of the likely outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perceptions of the game's potential trajectory.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Ravens-Cowboys game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will determine which contract corresponds to the actual result, and those holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the market's pricing at resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. In-game developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, will rapidly shift the perceived probabilities and affect the price of contracts. Overall, any information that alters the anticipated competitive balance could move this market.