TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming professional football game. It captures the competitive momentum during a specific segment of play, reflecting strategic adjustments and performance under pressure in a high-stakes matchup.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points exclusively during the third quarter of the designated game. If one team outscores the other, the corresponding 'Winner' market resolves to Yes. If both teams finish the quarter with equal points, all 'Winner' markets resolve to No, and the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored in the third quarter count, and the outcome is determined solely by quarter-end scores, irrespective of the overall game result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting patterns, the price in this market directly reflects what traders believe will happen. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities than traditional odds, though this isn't always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it. The current price indicates the implied probability of each team winning the 3rd quarter, based on the aggregated actions of all traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Ravens-Cowboys game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to view the final result and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game. The outcome is determined solely by the on-field performance during the specified period.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale could also shift the market. Finally, as the game progresses and early results come in, the price will rapidly adjust to reflect the changing probabilities of each team winning the 3rd quarter.