TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether the Baltimore Ravens or Dallas Cowboys will dominate the third quarter of their upcoming football game by specific point margins. Each outcome represents a different threshold of victory for either team during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the stated team wins the quarter by exceeding the specified point margin, ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points depending on the market. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution, and all markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its own threshold without reference to others. The governing league's official scoring and game records determine the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analysts often watch both to identify potential value or mispricings, but it's important to remember that prediction markets represent a different form of forecasting based on incentivized participation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the most likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s expectation for the point difference in the 3rd quarter between the Ravens and the Cowboys.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 3rd quarter spread of the game between the Ravens and the Cowboys will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their contract status shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing or running, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and move the market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.