TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will dominate the second half of a football game by a specific margin. Outcomes depend entirely on the point differential after the second half, excluding any points scored in the first half.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the specified football game. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds that threshold. Only points scored during the second half count toward resolution, and all thresholds are evaluated independently. The governing body's official scoring and game records will be used to determine outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move to reflect that collective opinion. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Ravens-Cowboys matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders who believe the actual spread will favor the Ravens buy contracts reflecting that, while those who think the Cowboys will cover buy contracts favoring them. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants. The current price indicates the probability that the spread will fall within that range, as determined by the collective trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-half spread of the Ravens-Cowboys game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges offered on Kalshi. The winning contracts will reflect the point spread established at the end of the second half of the game, as reported by official sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, or even significant betting patterns observed in sportsbooks, could all contribute to shifts in the price of contracts in this market.