TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming professional football game. It considers scenarios where either team could be ahead or the quarter could end in a tie based on points scored during that specific period.
If Dallas wins the 1st Quarter of the BAL Ravens vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baltimore wins the 1st Quarter of the BAL Ravens vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the BAL Ravens vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds in this market will shift accordingly, potentially offering value for informed bettors. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a specific team to win the first quarter, the price of that contract increases, while the price of contracts for the other team decreases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the first quarter of the Ravens-Cowboys game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and commentators, as well as public sentiment expressed on social media, can also contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can quickly move the market, especially if they indicate strong conviction from informed traders.