TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that can be achieved during the initial period of play.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the designated football game. Each market has a specific threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams exceeds the threshold specified in a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these markets, and all markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The game in question is scheduled for September 27, 2026, and all markets are subject to the standard rules governing sports event resolution, including adjustments for game cancellations or rescheduling.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and team news, while this market aggregates the informed opinions of individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – you may observe convergence or divergence between the two. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets allow participants to take both sides of a bet, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total points scored in the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and efficient market, where the price effectively represents the probability of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Ravens-Cowboys game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source for determining the final result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final contract prices on Kalshi at the time of resolution. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or kicking games, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or significant team adjustments could also influence traders’ expectations. Finally, even public sentiment and large betting patterns observed elsewhere could contribute to shifts in the price of contracts within this market.