TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming professional football game. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the two teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes depend entirely on the actual game performance of both teams in the first half.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the BAL Ravens and DAL Cowboys during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the first half count, and all markets share this same resolution criterion, differing only in the point thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5. The governing body's official rules apply to the game, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional betting markets, though discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of information and market participation. It’s common to see the price on Kalshi adjust as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the first half of the Ravens-Cowboys game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe a particular total is likely, the price of contracts representing that total will increase. Conversely, if traders believe a total is unlikely, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the first half of the Ravens-Cowboys game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The total points scored by both teams in the first half will be compared to the contract values offered on Kalshi. The market will then settle to 100 for the contracts corresponding to the correct total, and 0 for all other contracts. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Ravens or Cowboys would likely impact the perceived scoring potential and thus the price of contracts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could create arbitrage opportunities, leading to price adjustments on Kalshi.