TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either team in the first half of an upcoming professional football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys during the first half of their scheduled game on September 27, 2026. For markets where the Ravens are specified as the winning team, resolution occurs if Baltimore leads by more than the stated point margin at the end of the first half. Conversely, for markets specifying the Cowboys as the winning team, resolution requires Dallas to hold a lead exceeding the designated margin by halftime. Only points scored during the first half contribute to determining outcomes, with no consideration given to the final game result or any second-half scoring. Each market operates independently, allowing for multiple resolutions depending on the actual point differential.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own beliefs about the likely outcome. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information becomes available and the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the Ravens-Cowboys game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more a particular spread is favored, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread of the Ravens-Cowboys game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authorities. The final spread will be compared to the contracts traded on Kalshi to determine payouts to contract holders. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by trading activity on Kalshi rather than external opinions.