TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Bahia vs Remo soccer match. Different markets cover varying win margins for each team, indicating predictions about potential dominance in the game.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Bahia or Remo wins the specified match on September 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Bahia's markets occurs if they win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals. For Remo, a 'Yes' outcome requires a win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The official result of the governing league determines resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official connection with the league or ownership of related trademarks.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from the implied probabilities on Kalshi, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome of the Bahia vs Remo match or differing levels of information available to each group. It's a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Bahia vs Remo match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The current price indicates what the market believes is the most likely outcome, but it's constantly changing based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Bahia vs Remo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and official sources leading up to this date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the event’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bahia or Remo team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and analysis focused on the Bahia vs Remo match will provide valuable insights into potential market-moving events.