TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Bahia and Internacional in an upcoming professional soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, reflecting how decisively one team might outperform the other. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins for Bahia and Internacional in their scheduled Brasileiro Serie A soccer match. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Bahia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bahia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Internacional winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Internacional winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on sharp handicappers and commission structures, prediction market odds are driven purely by trader sentiment and liquidity. This can lead to tighter spreads or larger discrepancies, depending on recent performance and public perception of both teams.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. The current implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting dynamically to new data such as player injuries, recent form, and tactical analysis shared within the trader community.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match result and goal differential, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Injuries, weather updates, or tactical changes could shift this market as the match nears Aug 31, 2026. Key moments like lineup announcements or recent form may cause rapid adjustments in trader positioning. Any last-minute news affecting either team's chances can dramatically reshape expectations and drive volatility in this market right up to resolution.