TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks cumulative goal totals in the Bahia vs Corinthians Brasileiro Serie A match on July 26, 2026. Each outcome represents whether the combined goals scored by both teams will exceed a specific threshold during the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution counts all goals scored by both teams combined during the full match duration of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Each market outcome resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed its specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). For example, a match ending 2-1 would count as 3 total goals, resolving Yes for thresholds of 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5, and No for thresholds of 3.5 and above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one reflect what traders actually believe will happen, with real money at stake. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently over time, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing the two can reveal where public or professional opinion differs, though both should be evaluated independently based on your own research and risk tolerance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for contracts tied to the total goal count. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the spread between current buy and sell orders. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position, and the market's depth—how much volume is available at different price levels—affects how easily you can execute larger trades.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, after the Bahia vs Corinthians match concludes. The outcome is determined by the final combined goal count, verified against credible public sources such as official league records or major sports data providers. Once the result is confirmed and the resolution criteria are met, the market settles and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning contract. Traders should monitor the event schedule and any official announcements to stay informed of timing changes or postponements.
Several factors can shift this market's price before resolution. Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—can alter scoring expectations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence goal-scoring likelihood. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may move the price based on proprietary models or early information. Public sentiment and media narratives can also drive casual trader activity. As the match approaches, any official confirmations about team rosters or venue details may trigger repricing. Monitor sports news and team announcements for catalysts that could reshape the probability.