TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 7:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Bahamas and Saint-Martin, scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bahamas" if Bahamas are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Saint-Martin" if Saint-Martin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Bahamas and Saint-Martin, scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bahamas" if Bahamas are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Saint-Martin" if Saint-Martin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has attracted a disproportionate amount of informed traders. It's important to consider both when forming your own assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share (Bahamas scores first) indicates the market's estimated chance of that event occurring, while the price of a 'no' share (Saint-Martin scores first) represents the probability of the alternative. The market is driven by supply and demand, with traders attempting to profit from correctly predicting the outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Bahamas vs. Saint-Martin match. The result will be determined by official match statistics and sources widely recognized for sports results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts, or even public opinion expressed on social media, could also play a role. A late surge in betting activity on either team, driven by new information or a change in perceived value, could also cause the market to move substantially before Sep 23, 2026. Monitoring these signals can help you identify potential trading opportunities.