TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Americas game, scheduled for July 6 at 4:00PM ET: If the Bahamas win, the market will resolve to "Bahamas". If the Puerto Rico win, the market will resolve to "Puerto Rico". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Americas game, scheduled for July 6 at 4:00PM ET: If the Bahamas win, the market will resolve to "Bahamas". If the Puerto Rico win, the market will resolve to "Puerto Rico". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets reflect real-time consensus from traders with financial skin in the game. This market aggregates dispersed knowledge from many participants, sometimes surfacing insights that traditional oddsmakers miss. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion differs from professional bookmaking, though both are valid reference points for understanding event likelihood.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed, with higher demand pushing probability upward and lower demand pulling it down. This continuous price discovery mechanism means odds adjust instantly as new information arrives or trader sentiment shifts. You can enter or exit positions at any time during the market's active window, with the displayed price representing the current consensus valuation.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final result of the matchup, determined by the official governing body or widely recognized sports media sources. Traders holding the correct outcome share will receive their payout automatically once verification is complete. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as new developments or pre-event analysis influence expectations.
Team roster changes, injury announcements, and recent performance trends can significantly shift trader sentiment in this market. Coaching decisions, training camp reports, and head-to-head historical records may also influence pricing as the event approaches. Public statements from players or officials, betting line movements from major sportsbooks, and expert analysis can trigger rapid repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and last-minute lineup adjustments closer to game day often drive final volatility as traders incorporate the latest available information.