TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 555M
- Kalshi
Above 555M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 11, 2026
Closed: Jul 11, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Bad Bunny's worldwide streaming performance during the week of July 3-9, 2026. Streaming data is compiled by Luminate Data, LLC and published approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Bad Bunny's total worldwide streams during the July 03 - July 09, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution occurring when the artist's streams exceed the designated level. Data publication occurs approximately 48 hours after the tracking week concludes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from thousands of participants rather than relying on a small group of experts. Traders in this market incorporate breaking news, social media trends, and historical patterns instantly, sometimes moving prices ahead of formal analyst reports. When major entertainment or streaming news breaks, the market typically reprices faster than published forecasts update, making it a useful real-time signal for where informed traders see the outcome heading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the equilibrium between traders who believe streaming numbers will hit certain thresholds and those who don't, with each trade updating the implied probability displayed on the dashboard. Tighter spreads indicate high confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading activity.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether weekly streaming metrics meet the specified threshold, measured against official data sources that track music platform activity. Traders should monitor announcements and verified reports as the resolution date approaches to understand how the final tally will be determined.
Major catalog releases, surprise album drops, or viral moments on social media can significantly shift streaming volumes and move this market sharply. Chart performance announcements, award show appearances, or collaborations with other high-profile artists often trigger price swings as traders reassess weekly streaming potential. Industry reports on streaming trends, platform algorithm changes, or shifts in listener engagement also influence how traders price the outcome heading into resolution.
