TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 559M
- Kalshi
Above 559M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 27, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jun 27, 3:41 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Bad Bunny's worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 19–25, 2026. Streaming data is collected from major music platforms globally and published by Luminate Data, typically within 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Bad Bunny's total worldwide streams during the June 19–25, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data. Each outcome threshold represents a specific streaming volume target, with resolution occurring if that threshold is exceeded. Data publication may occur up to approximately 48 hours after the tracking period concludes. Luminate Data serves as a neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery. While analysts may issue periodic reports or statements, this market aggregates live trader conviction through buy-and-sell activity. Markets tend to incorporate new information faster than formal forecasts update, making them a dynamic alternative lens. However, both approaches have merit—analysts bring domain expertise, while prediction markets reveal distributed crowd intelligence. Comparing the two can highlight where expert opinion and market pricing align or diverge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal cost of the last trade, with bid-ask spreads tightening as liquidity increases. Traders profit by correctly predicting the outcome and selling their shares at a higher price than they purchased, or by shorting overpriced outcomes. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery and fair execution across all participants.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, Kalshi will settle all positions based on whether the specified condition occurred. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact timing of settlement depends on when reliable confirmation becomes available, ensuring accuracy over speed.
Market prices will likely shift in response to official announcements, streaming platform updates, or any public statements from Bad Bunny or his team regarding weekly streams. Changes in tour schedules, album releases, or other major career developments could influence trader expectations. Social media activity, industry news, and shifts in fan engagement metrics may also trigger repricing. As the resolution date approaches, increased certainty about the outcome typically narrows bid-ask spreads and stabilizes prices, while unexpected developments can cause sharp swings in implied probability.
