TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Entertainment
Bad Bunny vs Ariana Grande streams this week?
kalshi

Bad Bunny vs Ariana Grande streams this week?

Volume:
$0

Bad Bunny

 - Kalshi

Bad Bunny - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 6:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bad Bunny

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ariana Grande

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which artist will accumulate more worldwide streams during a specific week in May 2026, comparing Bad Bunny against Ariana Grande on the Luminate platform. On Kalshi, Bad Bunny has a 50.0% probability of leading the streaming count, while Ariana Grande holds an equal 50.0% probability. The outcome will be determined by official Luminate data for the May 22–28, 2026 tracking week, with resolution expected by June 1, 2026. Watch the final streaming tallies as they are reported on Luminate following the close of the May 22–28 tracking period.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the market is priced as a binary contract on whether Ariana Grande will exceed Bad Bunny's worldwide streams for May 22–28, 2026 according to Luminate data. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect trader expectations about streaming volume, release timing, and listener engagement during that specific week. Prices move as new information surfaces—such as surprise releases, playlist additions, or real-time streaming reports—allowing traders to buy or sell positions based on their conviction about the final outcome.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the May 22–28, 2026 tracking period closes and Luminate publishes final worldwide streaming counts for both artists. The outcome is determined by comparing their total streams across all platforms during that exact week. Whichever artist accumulates the higher number of streams wins the contract. Traders should monitor Luminate's official data release to confirm the final result.

Key catalysts include surprise album or single releases from either artist, major playlist placements on Spotify or Apple Music, award show performances, social media viral moments, and tour announcements. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports can shift trader sentiment rapidly. Chart debuts, radio airplay spikes, and collaborations with high-profile artists may also influence streaming volume. Additionally, fan engagement campaigns, music video releases, and unexpected chart movements during the May 22–28 window could trigger significant market repricing as traders adjust their positions.