TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 26, 2026
Closed: Sep 26, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks the potential global viewership of Bad Bunny’s content on YouTube for a specific day in 2026. Each market represents a different threshold of daily views, allowing participants to speculate on whether the artist will surpass various view count milestones.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on whether Bad Bunny achieves a specified number of global daily views on YouTube on September 25, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from above 22 million to above 34 million views. The resolving entity will use view counts displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location. All markets explicitly state that YouTube has not endorsed these products, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the market operator. The secondary rules consistently apply across all markets, ensuring uniform methodology for data retrieval and resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for this event, as comprehensive, publicly available forecasts are limited. However, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a collective prediction based on diverse information and perspectives. Traditional analyst forecasts often rely on specific models and assumptions, while this market reflects a broader range of factors considered by traders. Discrepancies may arise due to differing methodologies and access to information, offering a unique perspective beyond conventional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final views count for Bad Bunny. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Contract prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, influenced by news, social media trends, and overall market sentiment. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, creating a dynamic and informative pricing signal.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official view count for Bad Bunny on September 25, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of contracts will reflect the actual views received, determining payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure transparency and accuracy, establishing a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding Bad Bunny’s promotional activities, such as new music releases, tour dates, or high-profile media appearances, would likely impact trading activity. Shifts in social media engagement and online buzz surrounding the artist could also influence market sentiment. Unexpected events affecting viewership patterns, like major competing events or changes in streaming platform policies, could also lead to price fluctuations in this market.
