TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:30 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks Bad Bunny's global YouTube view count on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for market resolution. Each threshold represents a different level of viewership that, if exceeded, triggers a positive outcome. The markets operate independently, allowing participants to speculate on various potential view counts.
All markets resolve based on Bad Bunny’s global daily YouTube views on September 23, 2026, measured using data from a New York IP address. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the actual view count exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. View counts are obtained through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location. Neither these markets nor the associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive and do not imply affiliation or endorsement. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data source and disclaimer.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. If analysts predict a certain range of views for Bad Bunny’s performance, the odds on Kalshi will show whether traders agree or disagree with that assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of data, biases, or simply the wisdom of the crowd identifying overlooked factors. This comparison provides a valuable check on both types of predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for the total views of Bad Bunny’s performance. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the event. The current market reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total views for Bad Bunny’s performance on September 23, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source, will determine the final result. The resolution will be based on the official view count, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted outcome matched the actual result. The process aims to provide a clear and definitive resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding Bad Bunny’s tour schedule, promotional activities, or collaborations could impact expectations for viewership. Major announcements about the performance venue, streaming platforms carrying the event, or potential guest appearances would also be influential. Shifts in broader entertainment trends or changes in public interest in Bad Bunny could also play a role. Unexpected events, such as weather conditions affecting attendance or technical issues during the performance, could also cause fluctuations in the market’s price.