TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 4:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Bad Bunny's YouTube view performance on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for global daily views. Each threshold represents a distinct outcome based on whether the views exceed the specified amount. The resolution uses data from a New York IP address to ensure consistency.
Kalshi
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific threshold of global daily views that Bad Bunny must exceed on YouTube for the market to resolve to 'Yes' on September 22, 2026. All markets share the same resolution process: view counts are accessed via YouTube Charts by searching for Bad Bunny and selecting 'Global' as the location, with data retrieved using a New York IP address to standardize results. None of the markets or related products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event organizer. The outcome for each market is binary—'Yes' if the specified view threshold is surpassed, 'No' otherwise.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Bad Bunny’s viewership. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or expert opinions. This is because traders have a financial stake in correctly predicting the outcome, incentivizing them to consider all relevant factors. If analysts predict a certain level of views, it will be interesting to see if this market reflects a similar expectation, or if traders believe other influences will impact the final result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will fluctuate based on supply and demand; if more people believe Bad Bunny will exceed 22.5M views, the price of the 'Yes' contract will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of views Bad Bunny receives on September 22, 2026, will be assessed against the 22.5M threshold. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized source of viewership statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual viewership numbers.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any major announcements regarding Bad Bunny's upcoming projects, such as new album releases, tour dates, or collaborations, could significantly impact expectations for his viewership. Changes in the overall popularity of Latin music or streaming trends could also play a role. Furthermore, any controversies or positive media coverage surrounding Bad Bunny could shift public sentiment and affect trading behavior. Unexpected events impacting streaming platforms or internet access could also be relevant signals for traders.
