TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 22, 2026
Closed: Sep 22, 6:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Bad Bunny's performance on a specific date, measuring how many global daily views his content receives on a major video platform. Outcomes depend on whether view counts surpass various thresholds, reflecting audience engagement and popularity.
Kalshi
Each market evaluates whether Bad Bunny achieves a specific Global daily view threshold on YouTube for September 20, 2026. All markets use data accessed via YouTube Charts, searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location, with results determined using values displayed from a New York IP address. No market is endorsed by YouTube, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The markets differ only in their view-count thresholds, ranging incrementally from above 22 million to above 34 million.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions embedded in this market to external analyst forecasts. However, the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi often provides a unique perspective, potentially factoring in information and nuances that traditional analysts might overlook. If initial analyst estimates suggest a certain range of views, observing how this market prices contracts can reveal whether traders believe those forecasts are too optimistic or pessimistic. Discrepancies between this market and analyst expectations could signal emerging trends or overlooked factors influencing the final view count.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final number of views Bad Bunny will receive. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are possible when their beliefs align with the eventual outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final views count for Bad Bunny on September 20, 2026, will be sourced from publicly available data and used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the total views across all official platforms where Bad Bunny's content is available, ensuring a comprehensive and accurate assessment of his viewership on that date.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major announcements regarding Bad Bunny’s content release schedule, collaborations with other artists, or promotional campaigns could all impact anticipated viewership. Unexpected events, such as shifts in social media trends or changes in platform algorithms, could also play a role. Furthermore, any news related to Bad Bunny’s overall popularity or public image could move the market as traders adjust their expectations based on evolving information and sentiment leading up to September 20, 2026.
