TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 21, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 20, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Bad Bunny's performance on a specific date, measuring how many global daily views his content receives on a major video platform. The outcome depends on whether view counts surpass certain thresholds, reflecting audience engagement and popularity.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Bad Bunny achieves specified global daily view thresholds on YouTube for September 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if the recorded global daily views exceed that threshold. All markets use data accessed via YouTube Charts from a New York IP address to ensure consistent measurement. The rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The structure allows multiple markets to operate simultaneously, each with its own threshold, enabling participants to speculate on different levels of viewership success.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the predictions embedded in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as those forecasts are not yet widely available for an event so far in the future. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports, potentially leading to different estimations. If pre-event analysis emerges, it will be interesting to see how this market’s price action reflects, or diverges from, those external viewpoints regarding the expected viewership numbers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential view counts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating market sentiment. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of those participating in this market, offering a unique perspective on the potential viewership of Bad Bunny’s event.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final view count will be sourced from publicly available data, ensuring transparency and accuracy. The resolution will reflect the total number of views received by Bad Bunny on the specified date, providing a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the final, verified view count.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to September 19, 2026. Announcements regarding the event itself, such as the specific platform where it will be streamed or any promotional campaigns, could significantly impact expectations. Changes in Bad Bunny’s overall popularity, or major shifts in the music industry landscape, could also play a role. Unexpected events affecting viewership patterns, such as major competing events or widespread internet outages, could also cause the price to fluctuate as traders adjust their predictions.
