TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 19, 2026
Closed: Sep 19, 7:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Bad Bunny's global YouTube view count on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for market resolution. Each threshold represents a different view count level that, if exceeded, triggers a positive outcome. The markets use a standardized method to verify results, ensuring consistency across all thresholds.
Kalshi
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific threshold of global daily YouTube views for Bad Bunny on September 17, 2026. For any given market, if Bad Bunny's global daily views on YouTube for that date exceed the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets utilize view counts displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, searching for the artist and selecting 'Global' as the location. It is explicitly noted that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event operator. The structure allows participants to speculate on various potential view count outcomes, each corresponding to a distinct threshold.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. If analysts are consistently over or underestimating the potential views, we may see a divergence between their predictions and the prices established here. It's important to remember that both approaches have limitations, and the true outcome will only be known after the event takes place.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s pricing mechanism allows for a dynamic and responsive reflection of new information and changing sentiment regarding Bad Bunny’s viewership.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of views for Bad Bunny’s performance on September 17, 2026, will be the determining factor. This figure will be sourced from publicly available data and verified to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual outcome, reflecting the collective wisdom of the market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding Bad Bunny’s promotional activities, album releases, or major media appearances would likely impact trading activity. Changes in the overall music landscape, the popularity of streaming platforms, or even broader economic factors could also play a role. Unexpected events, such as a major concert announcement or a viral social media moment, could also cause shifts in the market’s pricing as traders adjust their expectations regarding the final view count.
