TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 18, 2026
Closed: Sep 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Bad Bunny's global YouTube view count on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for market resolution. Each threshold represents a different view count level that, if exceeded, triggers a positive outcome. The markets use a standardized method to verify results, ensuring consistency across all thresholds.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on Bad Bunny’s Global daily YouTube views on September 16, 2026, measured using data displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the view count exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. View counts are subject to variation by location, but all markets uniformly apply the New York IP address standard for verification. Neither these markets nor their associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the market operator.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than individual analysts might consider. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. If analysts predict a significantly higher or lower view count than implied by the current odds on Kalshi, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders, or indicate that the market is incorporating factors not yet recognized by external observers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential view counts for Bad Bunny. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific view count occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract tied to a specific view count.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final view count for Bad Bunny’s performance on September 16, 2026, will be the determining factor. This figure will be sourced from publicly available data, ensuring transparency and objectivity in the resolution process. Traders should monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any developments that could impact the final result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding Bad Bunny’s promotional activities, album releases, or tour announcements would likely impact expectations. Shifts in broader music industry trends, changes in streaming platform algorithms, or even major cultural events occurring around the performance date could also influence trading activity. Unexpected media coverage, viral social media moments, or announcements about collaborations could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key for traders seeking to capitalize on market movements.
