TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 18, 2026
Closed: Sep 17, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Bad Bunny's performance on a specific date by measuring global daily views of their content on a major video platform. Outcomes depend on whether view counts surpass various thresholds, reflecting audience engagement levels for that day.
Kalshi
Each market outcome is determined by whether Bad Bunny achieves a specific global daily view threshold on YouTube for September 15, 2026. All markets use data accessed via YouTube Charts, searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location, with values displayed from a New York IP address. The markets cover thresholds from above 22 million to above 34 million views. No market is endorsed by YouTube, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. The structure allows participants to speculate on different levels of viewership success for Bad Bunny on the specified date.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for this specific event, as comprehensive public forecasts are limited. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional analyst predictions. This market, like others, benefits from the ‘wisdom of the crowd,’ where the collective judgment of many traders can sometimes outperform individual expert opinions. It will be interesting to see if the market’s implied probability aligns with any future expert estimations regarding Bad Bunny’s viewership.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Bad Bunny will exceed 22 million daily views on September 15, 2026. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived certainty of the outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of exceeding the threshold. Volume plays a key role in price discovery.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the officially reported daily views for Bad Bunny’s content on September 15, 2026. The verified view count will be sourced from publicly available data and will determine whether the market settles in favor of the ‘above 22 million’ outcome or the ‘below or equal to 22 million’ outcome. The final price will reflect the probability assigned by traders leading up to the resolution date.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Any announcements regarding Bad Bunny’s upcoming projects, such as new album releases, concert tours, or major media appearances, would likely impact trading activity. Changes in his overall popularity, as measured by social media engagement or streaming numbers, could also influence the market. Furthermore, broader trends in music consumption and viewership patterns, or even unexpected events that capture public attention, could shift trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market.
