TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 15, 1:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Bad Bunny's global YouTube view count on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for different view milestones. Each threshold represents a distinct level of audience engagement that can be individually assessed.
Kalshi
All markets in this event resolve based on Bad Bunny’s global daily YouTube views on September 13, 2026, measured from a New York IP address. Each market has a unique numerical threshold, ranging from 22 million to 34 million views. If the actual view count exceeds a market’s specified threshold, that market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No". View counts are obtained through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting the "Global" location filter. Neither these markets nor the associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive and do not imply affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to make a direct comparison between the predictions embedded in this market and those from traditional analysts. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges for viewership numbers, this market expresses predictions as probabilities across all possible outcomes. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on historical data and subjective judgment, whereas this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. Discrepancies may arise due to differing methodologies and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential view counts. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, social media trends, and any information that might affect the perceived likelihood of Bad Bunny’s viewership numbers. The goal is to create a liquid and efficient market for forecasting this event.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official view count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of views will be sourced from official channels associated with the video release, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the result. The resolution will reflect the total number of views accumulated by the specified video within a defined timeframe following its release, as determined by the source of truth. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any announcements regarding Bad Bunny’s promotional activities, such as collaborations or media appearances, would likely impact predictions. Unexpected news related to the platform hosting the video, or changes in its algorithm, could also shift the market. Broader cultural trends and the overall reception of the video upon release will be key drivers. Finally, any controversies or viral moments associated with the video could lead to substantial price movements in this market.
