TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 29M
- Kalshi
Above 29M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 14, 2026
Closed: Sep 14, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Bad Bunny's global YouTube view count on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for market resolution. Each threshold represents a different level of viewership that, if exceeded, triggers a positive outcome for associated contracts.
Kalshi
Each market evaluates whether Bad Bunny achieves a specific global daily view threshold on YouTube for September 12, 2026. All markets use data accessed through YouTube Charts, searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location, with results displayed from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. The thresholds range incrementally from above 22 million to above 34 million views. No market endorsement by YouTube exists, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event organizers. All markets resolve based solely on the reported global daily view count for that date.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for this event, as detailed public predictions are limited. However, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a collective forecast based on diverse information and perspectives. Where analysts have made broad predictions about Bad Bunny’s popularity and potential viewership, this market offers a real-time, quantifiable alternative based on financial commitment. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market perceives information differently than traditional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices through their bids and asks. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. The higher the price, the greater the perceived chance of the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and changes dynamically with new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final view count for Bad Bunny’s release on September 12, 2026, will be sourced from publicly available data. The market will settle based on this verified view count, determining which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor public sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential factors influencing the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding Bad Bunny’s promotional activities, album release details, or collaborations could impact expectations. Major shifts in music streaming trends or social media engagement surrounding the artist would also be influential. Unexpected events affecting the broader entertainment industry, or even general economic conditions impacting consumer spending on entertainment, could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely view count has the potential to shift prices in this market.
