TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 24.5M
- Kalshi
Above 24.5M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 13, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks the performance of the artist Bad Bunny by measuring the number of global daily views his content receives on a specific platform on a particular date. The outcome depends on whether the view count surpasses various thresholds, reflecting interest in his work on that day.
Kalshi
The market resolves based on whether Bad Bunny achieves a specified number of global daily views on YouTube for September 11, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from above 22 million to above 34 million views. All markets use the same methodology: view counts are determined using YouTube Charts, with "Global" selected as the location and values displayed from a New York IP address. The markets are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation by YouTube. The consistent secondary rule across all markets emphasizes that view counts may vary by location and clarifies the source of data retrieval, ensuring transparency and standardization in resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Bad Bunny’s views on that date. Traditional analyst predictions often rely on historical data and current trends, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If analysts predict a different outcome than what is priced into this market, it could create trading opportunities for those who believe the market is mispriced. It's important to consider both perspectives when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their prices based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The current price reflects the collective belief of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of Bad Bunny exceeding 23 million views on September 11, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final views count for Bad Bunny on September 11, 2026, will be the determining factor. The platform will verify the data against publicly available sources to determine whether Bad Bunny’s daily views exceeded 23 million. Traders holding contracts that align with the final outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market over the next few years. Major announcements regarding Bad Bunny’s upcoming projects, such as new album releases or tour dates, could significantly impact his viewership. Changes in the broader music landscape, including the popularity of streaming platforms or the emergence of competing artists, could also play a role. Unexpected events, like major social media trends or viral moments featuring Bad Bunny, might also shift market sentiment. Any news related to Bad Bunny’s public image or fan engagement could move this market.
