TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 29M
- Kalshi
Above 29M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 13, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks whether Bad Bunny achieves specific levels of global daily views on YouTube during a one-week period. Each threshold represents a different view count milestone that, if reached at any point during the timeframe, triggers a resolution for the corresponding market.
Kalshi
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific threshold of global daily views that Bad Bunny must surpass on YouTube during the period from September 7, 2026, to September 13, 2026. For any market to resolve to "Yes," Bad Bunny’s global daily view count must exceed the stated threshold at least once within the specified timeframe. All markets utilize view counts reported from a New York IP address to ensure consistency, and YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products. The view counts are to be accessed via YouTube Charts by searching for Bad Bunny and selecting the "Global" location filter. Each market operates independently, with its own distinct threshold, ranging incrementally from above 22 million to above 34 million global daily views.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives and real-time adjustments based on emerging information, potentially identifying discrepancies that traditional analysis might miss. While analysts may offer predictions based on established trends, the wisdom of the crowd in this market can incorporate unexpected factors and rapidly changing public sentiment surrounding Bad Bunny's popularity and content releases. This dynamic interplay can lead to significant differences in projected outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential daily view counts for Bad Bunny. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective prediction. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influence price discovery, allowing for efficient and accurate forecasting of the highest daily view count during the specified period.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for Bad Bunny’s content, as officially reported by the relevant video platform, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and objectivity. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding Bad Bunny’s new music releases, collaborations, or tour dates would likely impact predicted view counts. Unexpected viral trends featuring his content, or controversies surrounding the artist, could also cause shifts in market sentiment. Furthermore, changes in the platform’s algorithm that affects content visibility or overall user engagement could influence predictions. Any news related to Bad Bunny’s public image or promotional activities will be closely watched by traders in this market.
