TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
What will Bad Bunny’s highest daily view count be?
Above 26.5M
- Kalshi
Above 26.5M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 29, 2026
Closed: Sep 25, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks whether Bad Bunny achieves specific levels of global daily views on YouTube during a defined week. Each outcome represents a different view count threshold that needs to be surpassed for the market to resolve positively. The verification will use YouTube Charts data from a New York IP address to determine the results.
Kalshi
Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a distinct view count threshold that Bad Bunny must surpass on any single day between September 21, 2026, and September 27, 2026, for the market to resolve to Yes. All markets utilize YouTube Charts data accessed via a New York IP address to determine global daily view counts for Bad Bunny. Each market specifies a unique numerical threshold—ranging incrementally from above 22 million to above 34 million views—and a Yes outcome occurs if Bad Bunny’s view count meets or exceeds that threshold on at least one day within the specified period. The rules consistently note that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement from YouTube. The secondary rules across all markets reinforce the use of New York IP address data for consistency in view count verification.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Bad Bunny’s daily view counts. Unlike traditional polls or expert opinions, this market aggregates the wisdom of many individual traders. This creates a dynamic price that reflects collective beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. While analysts may offer predictions, this market provides a continuously updated assessment based on real money at stake, potentially offering a more accurate signal as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential daily view counts for Bad Bunny. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential for different view counts during the specified period.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for Bad Bunny between September 21, 2026, and September 27, 2026, will be determined based on publicly available data from official sources. The contract corresponding to that highest daily view count will then be settled as the winning outcome, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any announcements regarding Bad Bunny’s upcoming content releases, tour dates, or collaborations would likely move the odds. Major media appearances or viral moments could also influence the market. Unexpected shifts in social media trends or changes in the overall popularity of Bad Bunny's music could also play a role. Furthermore, any news regarding competing artists or events happening during the same timeframe could indirectly affect the perceived likelihood of different view count outcomes in this market.
