TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 27M
- Kalshi
Above 27M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 22, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 19, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks whether the Puerto Rican rapper Bad Bunny achieves specific daily view thresholds on YouTube during a one-week period in September 2026. Each threshold represents a progressively higher number of global daily views that Bad Bunny must surpass at any point during the specified dates.
Kalshi
All markets resolve to 'Yes' if Bad Bunny achieves the specified Global daily view threshold on YouTube at any point between September 14, 2026, and September 20, 2026. Each market defines a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from above 22 million to above 34 million views. View counts are determined using YouTube Charts, with 'Global' selected as the location and values sourced from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. Neither these markets nor the associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive and not indicative of affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for the Bad Bunny view count. While entertainment analysts often provide predictions about album sales or concert attendance, forecasting specific daily view counts is less common. However, if analysts were to release such forecasts, comparing them to this market's implied probabilities could reveal whether the crowd is more or less optimistic than experts about Bad Bunny's viewership during the specified period. Discrepancies could suggest opportunities for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the prices reflect the collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to take a position on a particular outcome, and the implied probability is derived from the contract’s price relative to $1.00.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count Bad Bunny achieves across all major video platforms during the period of September 14, 2026, to September 20, 2026. The exact source for verifying the view count will be determined at the time of resolution to ensure accuracy and transparency, but will rely on publicly available data.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Announcements regarding Bad Bunny’s promotional activities leading up to and during the specified week, such as new music video releases or major media appearances, could drive increased viewership. Unexpected collaborations or viral moments on social media could also generate substantial interest. Conversely, negative publicity or unforeseen circumstances impacting Bad Bunny’s public image could dampen enthusiasm and lower predicted view counts. Any news related to competing artists or major entertainment events occurring simultaneously could also influence this market.
