TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Above 26.5M
- Kalshi
Above 26.5M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:15h:23m
Will Bad Bunny have above 26.5M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?
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Description
This event tracks whether Bad Bunny achieves specific levels of global daily views on YouTube during a defined period. The outcome depends on whether his view counts surpass various thresholds at any point within the timeframe, reflecting audience engagement and content performance.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Bad Bunny's global daily YouTube views from October 26 to November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct view count threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if Bad Bunny's views exceed that threshold on any day during the period. All markets use view counts reported from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, ensuring consistent data sourcing. The markets are strictly observational and do not imply endorsement by YouTube. The resolution hinges solely on whether the specified view count is surpassed at any moment within the window, with each threshold treated independently.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. If analysts predict a specific daily view count range for Bad Bunny, it’s interesting to see if the odds on Kalshi align with that expectation or if traders believe other outcomes are more probable. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the market anticipates surprises or has access to unique data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different daily view counts for Bad Bunny. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements can signal shifts in sentiment surrounding Bad Bunny’s popularity during the specified timeframe.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for Bad Bunny’s content—across all major platforms—during the period of October 26, 2026, to November 1, 2026, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from official sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will be able to see the verified data used to settle this market after resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements regarding Bad Bunny’s new music releases, concert tours, or media appearances would likely impact expectations for his viewership. Unexpected collaborations or viral moments on social media could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, changes in the overall popularity of the platforms where Bad Bunny shares content—or the emergence of competing artists—could influence trading activity. Positive or negative press coverage relating to Bad Bunny could also affect how traders price the market.
