TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 2:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a League of Legends match between Baam Esports and One More Esports in the Arabian League Group Stage, scheduled for August 6 at 12:00PM ET. The markets span the overall match winner, individual game winners, and total games played.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Arabian League 2026 tournament in relation to the Baam Esports vs. One More Esports League of Legends match scheduled for August 6, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If either team wins the Arabian League 2026 before or during the scheduled match date, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market refers to the LoL match between One More Esports and Baam Esports in the Arabian League Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 6 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "One More Esports" if One More Esports win the match against Baam Esports. This market will resolve to "Baam Esports" if Baam Esports win the match against One More Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader activity, reflecting crowd-sourced expectations for the outcome. Sportsbook odds often incorporate broader factors such as public betting patterns and professional analysis. While both sets of odds aim to predict the same result, prediction markets may show sharper shifts in response to new information, whereas sportsbooks typically smooth volatility to manage risk.
On Kalshi and Predict, pricing mechanisms and participant bases differ, leading to variations. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. User demographics, liquidity levels, and how each platform handles order flow all contribute. For instance, one venue might attract more casual fans, while another draws serious traders, which can skew probabilities temporarily. These differences often balance out as the event nears.
Injuries, strategy updates, or practice performance highlights can shift this market. Key moments such as player rotations, coach decisions, or even weather conditions may influence trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any news from official team channels or reputable esports analysts often drives rapid price adjustments on both Kalshi and Predict.