TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 5:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Valerii "b1t" Vakhovskyi records at least one kill with the AWP during any match at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on HLTV.org weapon statistics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV b1t weapon stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/weapon/18987/b1t?event=8301 If the HLTV weapon stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Valerii "b1t" Vakhovskyi records at least one kill with the AWP during any match at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on HLTV.org weapon statistics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV b1t weapon stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/weapon/18987/b1t?event=8301 If the HLTV weapon stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects crowdsourced expectations about whether the outcome will occur, often incorporating real-time information and expert insight from participants. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from bookmaker pricing, though prediction markets typically emphasize probability assessment over betting spreads.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders directly buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the most recent trade, with the spread between bid and ask orders indicating liquidity depth. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the price adjusts organically. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and stabilizes pricing, making it easier to enter or exit positions at predictable levels.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether b1t records at least one AWP weapon elimination during Stage 3 of the competition. Once the stage concludes and results are finalized through official sources, the market will settle to yes or no accordingly. Traders should monitor the event schedule and official announcements as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Updates on b1t's recent performance, team roster changes, or opponent strength assessments may influence trader positioning. Stage 3 scheduling announcements or format changes could also impact expectations. Real-time match results from earlier stages often signal momentum or form, prompting traders to adjust their bets. Breaking news about player health, team strategy, or competitive conditions typically triggers sharp price moves. Monitor esports news outlets and official tournament communications for catalysts that could reshape this market's trajectory.