TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:40 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Australia Cup game between Azzurri United FC and Macarthur FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Azzurri United FC vs. Macarthur FC match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Australia Cup game between Azzurri United FC and Macarthur FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Azzurri United FC vs. Macarthur FC match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially for less-obvious scorelines. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value or where public betting pressure has skewed conventional odds. Both sources offer insight, but they answer slightly different questions about likelihood.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact score outcome has its own contract, and the cumulative probability of all possible results should theoretically sum to 100 percent, though in practice market frictions and fees create small deviations. As traders buy shares in a particular scoreline, its price rises; selling pressure lowers it. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures that this market reflects the collective forecast of active participants in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the Azzurri United versus Macarthur FC match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is the exact scoreline that matches the official result recorded by the league or governing body. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information—team news, odds shifts, or pre-match analysis—emerges. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed.
Team news such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes can shift odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations about likely scorelines. Betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into particular outcomes may signal where professionals see value. As the match approaches, late-breaking developments—such as a surprise starting XI or tactical shifts—often trigger repricing. Even social media sentiment or analyst commentary can move this market if it surfaces information traders hadn't fully priced in.