TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 3:56 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 23 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 23 at 12:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. This creates a constantly updating forecast of the event’s potential results, driven entirely by supply and demand for shares in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Azerbaijan vs. Tajikistan match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also cause volatility. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or significant media coverage could trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market is responding to new information and adjusting its assessment of the likely outcome.