TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Azerbaijan Grand Prix Main Race: Top 5 Finishers
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Azerbaijan Grand Prix Main Race: Top 5 Finishers

Volume:
$32,525

Isack Hadjar

 - Kalshi

Isack Hadjar - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 12:48 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Isack Hadjar

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,463
N/A
N/A
$10,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Charles Leclerc

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,564
N/A
N/A
$2,220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Max Verstappen

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,308
N/A
N/A
$2,432
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,514
N/A
N/A
$1,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

George Russell

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$776
N/A
N/A
$525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lando Norris

0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,852
N/A
N/A
$1,723
Settled
No
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,840
N/A
N/A
$1,995
Settled
No
kalshi

Pierre Gasly

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,072
N/A
N/A
$1,810
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Piastri

0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,841
N/A
N/A
$1,571
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Lawson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
$525
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Sainz Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Franco Colapinto

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$188
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Hulkenberg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$113
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Perez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
$103
Settled
No
kalshi

Arvid Lindblad

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Fernando Alonso

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Bearman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Albon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Esteban Ocon

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gabriel Bortoleto

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lance Stroll

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Valtteri Bottas

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

The event tracks whether individual drivers finish in the top five positions during the main race of the 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix. Each market focuses on a specific driver's performance, resolving based on their final classified position after the race concludes.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified driver finishes in the top five positions in the main race originally scheduled for September 26, 2026, at the 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, based on the official Final Race Classification posted by the FIA. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. Should the race be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the race is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Azerbaijan Grand Prix finishers market tracks the current odds for each driver to finish in the top 5, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You'll also find the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $23,776, and the total volume traded to date, which is $32,525. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different outcomes in the race, giving you insights into market sentiment and potential value.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and then adjust them based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly if there's a significant difference in opinion between the two groups. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in team dynamics.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing the probability of each driver finishing in the top 5. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a driver will finish in the top 5, the higher the price of the contract will be. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting outcomes and capitalizing on price discrepancies, creating a dynamic and efficient pricing mechanism.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official race results are verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the finishing order of the Azerbaijan Grand Prix, specifically identifying the drivers who place within the top 5 positions. The official results published by the FIA will serve as the definitive source for determining the winners and losers in this market. Any protests or appeals will be considered as part of the final determination.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding driver health, car performance issues discovered during practice or qualifying, or even weather forecasts predicting rain could all cause shifts in the odds. Major announcements about team strategies or unexpected changes to the track configuration would also be influential. Furthermore, any significant incidents during qualifying sessions, such as crashes or mechanical failures, could alter the perceived probabilities of drivers finishing in the top 5, leading to increased trading volume and price fluctuations.