TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg?

Volume:
$235,303

Draw (AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg)

 - Polymarket

Draw (AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 5:56 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg)

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AZ

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Willem II Tilburg

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alkmaar wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,796
N/A
N/A
$27,315
Settled
No
kalshi

Alkmaar wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,295
N/A
N/A
$20,325
Settled
No
kalshi

Alkmaar wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,370
N/A
N/A
$1,760
Settled
No
kalshi

Willem II wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
No
kalshi

Willem II wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$315
Settled
No
kalshi

Alkmaar wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between AZ Alkmaar and Willem II Tilburg scheduled for September 11, 2026. Markets cover which team will win or if the match will end in a draw, as well as win margins exceeding specific goal thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket focuses on the basic match outcome (win/loss/draw) while Kalshi focuses on win margins. Cancellation handling differs.Hero tip: Consider the differing scopes of the markets. A simple win/loss/draw prediction is different from predicting a specific goal margin. Be mindful of cancellation risk on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on win/loss/draw within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on win margins (e.g., >2.5 goals) within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Friday, September 11, 2026 between AZ and Willem II Tilburg.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Alkmaar versus Willem II Eredivisie match scheduled for September 11, 2026, with all determinations made after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a victory margin exceeding the specified threshold for that particular market—either more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals, depending on the market and the winning side. Each market operates independently, meaning resolution for one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates predictions on the outcome of the AZ vs. Willem II match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $235,303, with $232,698 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, allowing you to see how traders are collectively assessing the likelihood of different results. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism for determining probabilities. This provides a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs directly, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbooks generally have higher liquidity and wider availability. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds across both can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making regarding the AZ vs. Willem II match.