TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha
Volume:
$245,086
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A UEFA Europa Conference League match between AZ Alkmaar and AC Sparta Praha scheduled for March 12, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether AC Sparta Praha wins, whether AZ wins, and whether the match ends in a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling divergence: Polymarket specifies explicit No/Yes resolutions for cancellation scenarios, while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, creating ambiguity in the rare event of match cancellation with no makeup game.Hero Tip:
Monitor UEFA.com and official team channels for any cancellation announcements. The divergence is low-risk for normal match completion but creates settlement uncertainty only in the unlikely cancellation scenario. For practical trading, assume the match will be played or rescheduled.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: AC Sparta Praha Win (Yes if Sparta wins, No otherwise), AZ Win (Yes if AZ wins, No otherwise), and Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise). Explicit cancellation rule: if canceled with no makeup, AZ and Sparta markets resolve No, Draw market resolves Yes. Resolution source: UEFA official statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Single omnibus market with three resolution paths: Tie/Draw resolves Yes, Alkmaar wins resolves Yes, Sparta Prague wins resolves Yes. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Resolution source: match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no fallback source specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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