TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AWP | Sovereign Flame FN above $1,300 on July 24?
limitless

AWP | Sovereign Flame FN above $1,300 on July 24?

Volume:
$1,177

AWP | Sovereign Flame FN above $1,300 on July 24?

 - Limitless

AWP | Sovereign Flame FN above $1,300 on July 24? - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 12:13 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

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24h
7d
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limitless

AWP | Sovereign Flame FN above $1,300 on July 24?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$50
$1,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "YES" if the final daily price of AWP | Sovereign Flame (Factory New) is strictly greater than $1,300.00 for July 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Primary resolution source: Steam Community Market page for AWP | Sovereign Flame (Factory New): https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/G180920B90B3004?category_Weapon=weapon_awp&category_Exterior=WearCategory0&appid=730 For the purposes of this market, the Steam Community Market page must be viewed using the following settings: Logged out of any Steam account.Median Sale Prices chart set to Year view.Accessed from a United States IP address.Item variant set to Factory New. The resolution price will be the daily data point shown for July 24, 2026, on the Median Sale Prices chart once that data point is no longer being updated. Prices displayed in any currency other than USD ($), or converted into USD by any external method, will not be used for resolution. If the Steam Community Market page or the Median Sale Prices chart is unavailable at the time of resolution and remains unavailable for 72 hours, this market will resolve to "NO." If no chart point for July 24, 2026, is displayed by July 27, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the last available final daily price before July 24, 2026, will be used. If AWP | Sovereign Flame (Factory New) is delisted from the Steam Community Market before the end of July 24, 2026, UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if the final daily price of AWP | Sovereign Flame (Factory New) is strictly greater than $1,300.00 for July 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Primary resolution source: Steam Community Market page for AWP | Sovereign Flame (Factory New): https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/G180920B90B3004?category_Weapon=weapon_awp&category_Exterior=WearCategory0&appid=730 For the purposes of this market, the Steam Community Market page must be viewed using the following settings: Logged out of any Steam account.Median Sale Prices chart set to Year view.Accessed from a United States IP address.Item variant set to Factory New. The resolution price will be the daily data point shown for July 24, 2026, on the Median Sale Prices chart once that data point is no longer being updated. Prices displayed in any currency other than USD ($), or converted into USD by any external method, will not be used for resolution. If the Steam Community Market page or the Median Sale Prices chart is unavailable at the time of resolution and remains unavailable for 72 hours, this market will resolve to "NO." If no chart point for July 24, 2026, is displayed by July 27, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the last available final daily price before July 24, 2026, will be used. If AWP | Sovereign Flame (Factory New) is delisted from the Steam Community Market before the end of July 24, 2026, UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like this one operate differently from traditional sportsbooks. Rather than setting fixed odds, prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery, where participants buy and sell shares based on their conviction. This creates dynamic odds that reflect real-time consensus. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set static lines and manage risk through margin. This market's odds represent decentralized crowd forecasting rather than a bookmaker's calculated spread, often capturing specialized knowledge about niche assets like gaming items.

On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen probability levels. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the last matched trade, and the spread between bid and ask represents the current disagreement among participants. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, orders are filled at different price points, causing the market price to move. This continuous auction process ensures that the odds always represent the marginal trader's view of the outcome's likelihood.

This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the AWP Sovereign Flame skin trades above $1,300 on the specified date. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once the result is finalized and verified. Until that point, positions remain open and prices may continue to shift based on new developments or changing expectations.

Several factors could influence this market's price before resolution. Major shifts in gaming item demand, changes in the game's meta or player base, announcements about item rarity or availability, and broader trends in the skin trading market all carry weight. Supply shocks, such as limited-time drops or discontinuations, could drive valuations higher. Additionally, shifts in collector interest or competitive gaming activity may alter perceived value. Traders monitor these catalysts closely and adjust positions accordingly, causing the odds to fluctuate as new information surfaces.