TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia
Volume:
$503,712
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between AVS Futebol SAD and Estoril Praia scheduled for February 15, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: whether Estoril wins, whether AVS wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause that resolves YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, while Polymarket's win markets and Kalshi resolve NO or remain silent on cancellation. This creates an asymmetric outcome space.Hero Tip:
If the match is postponed but rescheduled, all markets remain open per Polymarket's rules. If the match is canceled outright with no makeup, the draw market resolves YES while AVS and Estoril win markets resolve NO. Hedge accordingly: a draw-market YES position gains value in cancellation scenarios, while win positions lose value. Confirm with platforms whether postponement (vs. cancellation) is treated identically across all three markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket (Draw Market): Resolves YES if game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Unique clause: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' Postponements keep market open.
- Polymarket (Estoril Win Market): Resolves YES only if Estoril wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves NO if canceled with no makeup. Postponements keep market open.
- Polymarket (AVS Win Market): Resolves YES only if AVS wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves NO if canceled with no makeup. Postponements keep market open.
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Tie, AVS win, Estoril win) resolve YES if they occur within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement protocol specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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