TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki - More Markets
Volume:
$145,788
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a J1 League soccer match between Avispa Fukuoka and V-Varen Nagasaki scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets include spread bets (1.5 and 2.5 goal margins), over/under totals (1.5 through 4.5 combined goals), both teams to score, and a catch-all match outcome market. Resolution is based on official final score from jleague.jp within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's catch-all match outcome market (Yes if any result occurs) is structurally different from Polymarket's outcome-specific spread, over/under, and BTTS markets. Kalshi lacks explicit postponement and cancellation handling.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is a near-tautology and provides minimal trading value—it resolves Yes unless the match is entirely canceled or postponed. Polymarket's granular markets (spreads, totals, BTTS) offer true directional exposure. Do not treat Kalshi as a hedge for Polymarket positions; instead, use Polymarket for precise outcome bets and treat Kalshi as a binary match-completion indicator.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Seven distinct outcome-specific markets (Avispa -1.5, V-Varen -1.5, Avispa -2.5, V-Varen -2.5, O/U 1.5, O/U 2.5, O/U 3.5, O/U 4.5, BTTS). Each resolves Yes/No based on precise final score thresholds. Resolution source: jleague.jp official final score within 90 min + stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Fallback to credible reporting if official stats not published within 2 hours.
- Kalshi: Single catch-all market: resolves Yes if Avispa wins, V-Varen wins, or Tie occurs after 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit resolution source, postponement, or cancellation clause provided. Market structure makes it a tautology—any non-canceled match result triggers Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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