TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi

Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki - More Markets

Volume:
$145,788

Avispa

 - Kalshi

Avispa - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 16, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Avispa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,035
N/A
N/A
$30,862
Settled
Yes
kalshi

V-Varen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,246
N/A
N/A
$44,786
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,986
N/A
N/A
$12,354
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,075
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group covers a J1 League soccer match between Avispa Fukuoka and V-Varen Nagasaki scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets include spread bets (1.5 and 2.5 goal margins), over/under totals (1.5 through 4.5 combined goals), both teams to score, and a catch-all match outcome market. Resolution is based on official final score from jleague.jp within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's catch-all match outcome market (Yes if any result occurs) is structurally different from Polymarket's outcome-specific spread, over/under, and BTTS markets. Kalshi lacks explicit postponement and cancellation handling.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is a near-tautology and provides minimal trading value—it resolves Yes unless the match is entirely canceled or postponed. Polymarket's granular markets (spreads, totals, BTTS) offer true directional exposure. Do not treat Kalshi as a hedge for Polymarket positions; instead, use Polymarket for precise outcome bets and treat Kalshi as a binary match-completion indicator.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Seven distinct outcome-specific markets (Avispa -1.5, V-Varen -1.5, Avispa -2.5, V-Varen -2.5, O/U 1.5, O/U 2.5, O/U 3.5, O/U 4.5, BTTS). Each resolves Yes/No based on precise final score thresholds. Resolution source: jleague.jp official final score within 90 min + stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Fallback to credible reporting if official stats not published within 2 hours.
  • Kalshi: Single catch-all market: resolves Yes if Avispa wins, V-Varen wins, or Tie occurs after 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit resolution source, postponement, or cancellation clause provided. Market structure makes it a tautology—any non-canceled match result triggers Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.